| Average With Him, Not So Good Without Him Authored by Marten Liebster - December 9, 2005 - 5:13 pm
Average with him, not so good without him.
Love him or hate him, Steve Francis has proved to be an integral part of the team this season. During the 4 games he has missed, the team's record was 1-3. When he plays, it is 6-7. With or without him, the team still has lots of progress to make if they want to be taken seriously.
The player most effected by his absence was Dwight Howard. Without Francis, teams were able to focus more attention on the young fella. Our opponents' increased pressure on Dwight can be seen in the change in his FG%:
With - 52.5%
Without - 30.4%
Dwight also took considerably less FTs in Francis' absence:
With - 7/game
Without - 4.5/game
...and he grabbed 2.3 fewer rebounds when Francis sat out:
With - 13.3/game
Without - 11.0/game
Not all players had such a significant drop-off without Franchise in the line up. DeShawn Stevenson's FG increased 8.8 percentage points (44.2% vs. 53.0%) and Tony Battie's rose 10.7% (41.4% vs. 52.1%). Jameer Nelson's FG% rose a mere 1.2%, from 41.9% to 43.1%, while Hedo Turkoglu's FG% was virtually unchanged - 37.0% with Francis to 37.2% without him.
The team as a whole saw its percentages drop without him in the line up. As a squad with Francis in the line up they shot 42.7%. This dropped to 40.1% without him. If we focus purely on the 2 point shots, the drop off was 6.0% - 44.0% with and 38.0% without.
When I watched the games, it seemed as if our ball movement declined without him in the lineup. But the team's assist numbers were virtually identical without him in the line up as opposed to him being there - 15.8 assists/game with him vs. 15.5 without. Interestingly the team was more careless without him there, turning the ball over 1.2 more times per game - 13.8 vs. 15.0.
The aspect that took the greatest hit without him was free throw attempts. This should be no surprise seeing as Francis is a slasher, which creates contact, which leads to fouls. When he was in the lineup, the team shot an average of 27.0 FTs per game. The four games he missed, we only shot 19.75 a game.
When it comes down to it, the team that scores the most points wins. They could have 50 TOs and 2 assists, but as long as they outscore their opponents they get the W.
Orlando with Francis - 82.92
Orlando without Francis - 80.75
Highest output without Francis - 91 vs. Washington Lowest output without Francis - 69 @ Memphis
Having Francis back didn't automatically result in a win against the Bulls a couple of nights ago (those numbers are not included in the stats above). Getting Hill back also won't automatically make us contenders. I really don't think that we will see what type of team we have until the All-Star break. At that time hopefully both Dooling and Hill will be playing, in game shape and clicking with the offense. |
